Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleury 91 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fleury 91 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Boulogne are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boulogne hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fleury 91 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fleury 91
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Fleury 91 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20