Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleury 91 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fleury 91 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Amiens are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Ligue 3, while Fleury 91 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fleury 91
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
14.6%
Fleury 91 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80