Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Flamengo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Palmeiras are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 67.8 against 67.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Serie A, while Flamengo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80