Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Flamengo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Coritiba are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (66.2 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the Serie A, while Flamengo holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00