Flamengo SPvs
Matonense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 7/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Flamengo SP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Matonense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo SP hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Paulista Série B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40