GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 7/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independente SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Flamengo SP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Independente SP are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independente SP

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flamengo SPWWWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independente SPWWWWW

GF 24 · GA 1 · avg 4.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Flamengo SPIndependente SP
41.7Attack88.2
81.3Defence78.4
75.0Form76.5
69.0Power74.1
0.70xG1.16
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