Flamengo SPvs
Independente SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 7/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independente SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Flamengo SP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Independente SP are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independente SP
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 24 · GA 1 · avg 4.80/0.20