GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 3/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Suduva Marijampole are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Suduva Marijampole

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Zalgiris VilniusWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Suduva MarijampoleWDDWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK Zalgiris VilniusSuduva Marijampole
52.2Attack53.6
62.3Defence75.4
55.1Form60.9
57.1Power63.5
0.82xG1.12
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