FK Zalgiris Vilniusvs
Suduva Marijampole
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 3/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Suduva Marijampole are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduva Marijampole
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00