Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panevėžys · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
FK Trakai are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Panevėžys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Panevėžys hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (14.3 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the A Lyga, while Panevėžys holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Panevėžys
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Panevėžys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20