GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Tobol Kostanay · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FK Tobol Kostanay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Zhetysu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Tobol Kostanay hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Premier League, while FK Tobol Kostanay holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Tobol Kostanay

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

FK Tobol Kostanay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Tobol KostanayLLLWD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ZhetysuLWWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK Tobol KostanayZhetysu
35.0Attack36.4
53.3Defence42.4
36.7Form28.8
43.8Power38.4
1.31xG0.91
View match centre →