GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 7/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Okzhetpes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FK Tobol Kostanay are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Okzhetpes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Premier League, while Okzhetpes holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Okzhetpes

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

14.5%

Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Tobol KostanayLWLWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OkzhetpesLLWDD

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FK Tobol KostanayOkzhetpes
35.0Attack47.6
53.3Defence54.0
36.7Form52.4
43.8Power53.0
1.00xG1.25
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