FK Tobol Kostanayvs
Kairat Almaty
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 4/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
FK Tobol Kostanay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kairat Almaty are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kairat Almaty hold a 29.6-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 73.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Premier League, while Kairat Almaty holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kairat Almaty
Probability
68.6%
Model confidence
16.6%
Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60