GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 6/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Tobol Kostanay · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Tobol Kostanay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Altay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Tobol Kostanay hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Premier League, while FK Tobol Kostanay holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Tobol Kostanay

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

FK Tobol Kostanay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Tobol KostanayLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AltayDLDLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK Tobol KostanayAltay
35.0Attack28.6
53.3Defence49.2
36.7Form27.0
43.8Power37.9
1.16xG0.71
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