GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Spartak Tambov · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

FK Spartak Tambov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Arsenal Tula II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Spartak Tambov hold a 48.1-point power-rating edge (76.9 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.0% in the Second League - Group 3, while FK Spartak Tambov holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Spartak Tambov

Probability

89.2%

Model confidence

17.0%

FK Spartak Tambov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Spartak TambovDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Arsenal Tula IIDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FK Spartak TambovArsenal Tula II
59.3Attack29.6
83.3Defence25.9
85.2Form20.4
76.9Power28.8
3.24xG0.38
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