GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Veles · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FK Neftekhimik are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Veles are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Veles hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (35.1 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the First League, while Veles holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Veles

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Veles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK NeftekhimikDWDWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VelesDLLWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FK NeftekhimikVeles
16.7Attack38.9
44.4Defence55.6
33.3Form66.7
35.1Power56.9
0.86xG1.23
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