GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Neftekhimik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tekstilshchik are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tekstilshchik hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (35.1 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK NeftekhimikLWLDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TekstilshchikDDLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK NeftekhimikTekstilshchik
16.7Attack20.0
44.4Defence66.7
33.3Form20.0
35.1Power38.7
0.81xG0.96
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