GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FK Neftekhimik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shinnik Yaroslavl are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shinnik Yaroslavl hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the First League, while Shinnik Yaroslavl holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

14.5%

Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK NeftekhimikLWLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shinnik YaroslavlDLDWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK NeftekhimikShinnik Yaroslavl
20.0Attack46.7
46.7Defence46.7
40.0Form40.0
38.9Power46.1
1.07xG1.24
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