GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Liepaja · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FK Liepaja are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dečić are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Liepaja hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FK Liepaja holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Liepaja

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

FK Liepaja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK LiepajaLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
DečićWDLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK LiepajaDečić
33.3Attack16.7
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power26.7
1.47xG1.12
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