GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FK Crvena Zvezda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Hapoel Beer Sheva are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the UEFA Champions League, while FK Crvena Zvezda holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Crvena Zvezda

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

12.6%

FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Crvena ZvezdaWLWWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Beer ShevaWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaHapoel Beer Sheva
100.0Attack44.4
88.9Defence77.8
66.7Form66.7
78.6Power64.7
1.71xG1.11
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