FK Beogradvs
Sturt Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 2/28/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Beograd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FK Beograd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Beograd hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the South Australia NPL, while FK Beograd holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FK Beograd
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
FK Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80