Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kári · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Fjolnir are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Kári are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kári hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the 2. Deild, while Kári holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kári
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Kári has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80