Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haukar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Fjolnir are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Haukar are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Haukar hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the 2. Deild, while Haukar holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haukar
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Haukar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20