Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fittja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Fittja are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Karlslund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fittja hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Fittja holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fittja
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
9.3%
Fittja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60