Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haninge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Fittja are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Haninge are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Haninge hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Haninge holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haninge
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
6.8%
Haninge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80