Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Firpo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Firpo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Batanecos are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Firpo hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Copa Presidente, while Firpo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Firpo
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75