Fiorentinavs
Gubbio
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fiorentina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fiorentina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gubbio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorentina hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fiorentina holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fiorentina
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Fiorentina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20