GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/19/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fiorentina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fiorentina are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fiorentina U20 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorentina U20 hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fiorentina holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fiorentina

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Fiorentina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorentinaDWDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Fiorentina U20WWLWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FiorentinaFiorentina U20
94.4Attack33.3
55.6Defence100.0
61.1Form100.0
67.5Power80.3
2.35xG1.46
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