FiorentinavsBenevento

Fiorentina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Benevento are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Benevento hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Coppa Italia, while Benevento holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.