Finn Harpsvs
UCD
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 2/20/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Finn Harps are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while UCD are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
71.6%
Model confidence
14.7%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60