GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 4/24/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athlone Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Finn Harps are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Athlone Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athlone Town hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the First Division, while Athlone Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athlone Town

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Athlone Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Finn HarpsLLDDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Athlone TownWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Finn HarpsAthlone Town
25.9Attack32.1
34.6Defence59.3
27.2Form38.3
32.3Power45.4
0.67xG1.19
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