Figueirensevs
Barra
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 5/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Figueirense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Barra are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Figueirense hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00