Figueirensevs
AO Itabaiana
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 5/16/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Figueirense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Figueirense are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while AO Itabaiana are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Figueirense hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Serie C, while Figueirense holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Figueirense
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Figueirense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20