GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 7/3/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FH hafnarfjordur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

FH hafnarfjordur are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Stjarnan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stjarnan hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Úrvalsdeild, while FH hafnarfjordur holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FH hafnarfjordur

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

7.6%

FH hafnarfjordur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FH hafnarfjordurDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
StjarnanWLDWL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FH hafnarfjordurStjarnan
40.7Attack61.1
40.7Defence20.4
31.5Form38.9
39.9Power42.3
2.13xG2.07
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