Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Schwaz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fügen are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Schwaz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaz hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Regionalliga - West, while Schwaz holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Schwaz
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Schwaz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/5.00
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00