Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
FF Jaro are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Turku PS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Veikkausliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80