Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
FF Jaro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KuPS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
77.4%
Model confidence
15.6%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20