Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FF Jaro are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Ilves are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Veikkausliiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60