Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gnistan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
FF Jaro are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Gnistan are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gnistan hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Veikkausliiga, while Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gnistan
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80