Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Feyenoord are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Charleroi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleroi hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 84.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Charleroi holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charleroi
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80