Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Feyenoord are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atalanta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 70.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20