GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferroviária are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Brusque are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Brusque hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FerroviáriaDWDDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BrusqueWDWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FerroviáriaBrusque
35.4Attack45.8
70.8Defence64.6
50.0Form56.3
54.4Power57.6
0.80xG0.74
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