GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 7/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferroviario are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Goiatuba EC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Goiatuba EC hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FerroviarioLWDWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Goiatuba ECWWLWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FerroviarioGoiatuba EC
47.9Attack41.2
70.8Defence80.4
60.4Form64.7
60.9Power63.6
0.74xG0.66
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