Ferroviariovs
Fluminense PI
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 6/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferroviario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Ferroviario are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fluminense PI are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviario hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Serie D, while Ferroviario holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ferroviario
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Ferroviario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00