Ferroviariovs
Altos
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferroviario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Ferroviario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Altos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviario hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the Serie D, while Ferroviario holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ferroviario
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
Ferroviario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20