Ferro Carril Oestevs
San Telmo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 7/5/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ferro Carril Oeste are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Telmo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40