GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/5/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferro Carril Oeste are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Telmo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro Carril OesteWWWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San TelmoWDDLL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Ferro Carril OesteSan Telmo
38.9Attack26.1
69.4Defence65.2
63.9Form33.3
59.8Power43.6
0.93xG0.42
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