Ferro Carril Oestevs
San Miguel
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 2/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ferro Carril Oeste are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Miguel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20