Ferro Carril Oestevs
Deportivo Moron
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 6/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ferro Carril Oeste are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Deportivo Moron are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.8 against 61.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.3% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
19.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60