GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferro Carril Oeste are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensores De Belgrano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro Carril OesteWLWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores De BelgranoDLLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ferro Carril OesteDefensores De Belgrano
41.3Attack22.2
69.3Defence70.8
65.3Form36.1
60.9Power45.3
0.83xG0.36
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