GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/17/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferro Carril Oeste are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Colon Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro Carril OesteWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Colon Santa FeWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ferro Carril OesteColon Santa Fe
41.3Attack42.7
69.3Defence74.7
65.3Form56.0
60.9Power58.6
0.69xG0.72
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