Ferro Carril Oestevs
Colon Santa Fe
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 7/17/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ferro Carril Oeste are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Colon Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40