GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferro Carril Oeste are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlanta are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

23.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro Carril OesteWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AtlantaWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ferro Carril OesteAtlanta
38.9Attack42.0
69.4Defence68.1
63.9Form56.5
59.8Power57.3
0.82xG0.71
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