Ferro Carril Oestevs
Atlanta
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ferro Carril Oeste are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlanta are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
23.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80