Ferro Carril OestevsAcassuso

Ferro Carril Oeste are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Acassuso are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Primera Nacional, while Ferro Carril Oeste holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.